Journal of Iranian Public Administration Studies

Journal of Iranian Public Administration Studies

Pathology of Crisis Management in Iran Based on the Layered Analysis of Causes Method

Document Type : Original Article

Author
Associate Prof., Faculty of Command and control, Khatam Al-Anbiya Air Defense University (PBUH), Tehran, Iran
10.22034/jipas.2026.543946.1848
Abstract
Purpose: Despite the long history and relatively appropriate institutional arrangements in the field of crisis management, this process has had many fluctuations in Iran. Therefore, considering the importance of the issue, in this research, we have attempted to diagnose the pathology of the country's crisis management system using the layered analysis of causes method as the main objective of the research.

Methodology: The present study is applied in terms of its purpose and mixed in terms of its data collection method. In this research, the layered analysis of causes method was used to identify and organize the damages in the country's crisis management field. . In the first stage, the damages of the social factors layer were identified using the Delphi method and the Kendall agreement coefficient test. The experts in this stage consisted of ten people who were identified purposefully using the snowball method. In the next stage, using a similar method, six university professors were selected for semi-structured interviews regarding the third and fourth layers. The interviews of these individuals were analyzed and validated using the content analysis method and the interpretive validity method.

Findings: Based on the research findings15 damages were ultimately identified as damages and shortcomings of the social causes layer. In the third layer, six dominant discourses and harms at the worldview level were identified. These harms include authoritarianism, individualism, present-day thinking, fatalism, tribalism, and belief in immortality.The results of this study confirm deep structural, institutional, and cultural damage in the country's crisis management system.
Keywords

  • Receive Date 29 August 2025
  • Revise Date 04 January 2026
  • Accept Date 05 January 2026