نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسنده
استادیار دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی دانشگاه شیراز
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسنده [English]
The purpose of this research is to develop scenario planning as a method for policy lab. For this purpose, the institutional structure of science and technology policy in Iran was selected as the case of study and in-depth and semi-structured interviews was conducted with 20 experts and informants of science and technology policy in Iran. Also, Schwartz's eight-step method was used for scenario planning. Based on this, two key uncertainties 1- structure (open/closed) and 2- rules of conduct (collaborative participation and contentious dispute) and four scenarios 1- collaborative policy network, 2- government system, 3- getting ride of approach and 4- An island structure was identified. Also, the consequences of each scenario were calculated and the optimal scenario (scenarios of the collaborative policy network) was selected. In this way, it was shown that scenario planning as a common method in future studies can be used as a policy lab method by identifying the consequences of a policy. Therefore, it is recommended that science and technology policy makers evaluate its consequences in a policy lab before implementing any policy in the society and trial and error that policy in the public arena.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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